EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 20 May 2011



The EUR-USD bearish signal perspective is indicated by the declining sideway trend of the chart. This downtrend may take months or event years to progress until the previous support level at 1.1762 and it is shown on the monthly time frame chart of the EUR-USD.


The sign of US economy keeps on improving, as there are more jobs. The implication of this will strengthen the US dollars and may add up to the acceleration effect of the EUR-USD downtrend momentum. We will see what happens in a couple of months time from now.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 20 May 2011



The EUR-USD bearish signal perspective is indicated by the declining sideway trend of the chart. This downtrend may take months or event years to progress until the previous support level at 1.1762 and it is shown on the monthly time frame chart of the EUR-USD.


The sign of US economy keeps on improving, as there are more jobs. The implication of this will strengthen the US dollars and may add up to the acceleration effect of the EUR-USD downtrend momentum. We will see what happens in a couple of months time from now.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 24 February 2011



The EUR-USD seems to be going up trying to reach 1.4280 resistant level again. It could be a dummy test that could duped everyone into a trap. It's very dangerous as bearish strength still 80% underway. Any act of buying is consider unwise decision.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 24 February 2011



The EUR-USD seems to be going up trying to reach 1.4280 resistant level again. It could be a dummy test that could duped everyone into a trap. It's very dangerous as bearish strength still 80% underway. Any act of buying is consider unwise decision.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 13 February 2011



An obvious formation of Head and Shoulder chart pattern, indicate that the long-term direction for EUR-USD is heading toward down turn. This chart is taken from weekly time frame. 




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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 13 February 2011



An obvious formation of Head and Shoulder chart pattern, indicate that the long-term direction for EUR-USD is heading toward down turn. This chart is taken from weekly time frame. 




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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 10 December 2010



Obviously in the long-run the EUR-USD is heading towards down-trend as indicated by MACD and stochastic in the Monthly and Weekly time frame. However in the intermediate and short-term trading the condition is very tricky. This is a position where indecision mind always take place. And of course it's also a place for the big traders to play game with the smaller traders.

Time and again this kind of position proved to be fatal for the smaller and inexperience traders. Understanding that the direction always move following the MACD and Stochastic, but actually this is a place of no decision. Despite of the indicator's direction anything can happen here either the chart will move up or down will be based purely on the crowds decision. If you are unlucky and not able to detect where the crowds are heading to, then you will be at lost or if you are lucky otherwise.


Just never play the game :). Stay put and wait, or else the game will play you.

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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 10 December 2010



Obviously in the long-run the EUR-USD is heading towards down-trend as indicated by MACD and stochastic in the Monthly and Weekly time frame. However in the intermediate and short-term trading the condition is very tricky. This is a position where indecision mind always take place. And of course it's also a place for the big traders to play game with the smaller traders.

Time and again this kind of position proved to be fatal for the smaller and inexperience traders. Understanding that the direction always move following the MACD and Stochastic, but actually this is a place of no decision. Despite of the indicator's direction anything can happen here either the chart will move up or down will be based purely on the crowds decision. If you are unlucky and not able to detect where the crowds are heading to, then you will be at lost or if you are lucky otherwise.


Just never play the game :). Stay put and wait, or else the game will play you.

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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 06 December 2010



Intra day trend of the EUR-USD is moving upward with the expected ideal target range up to the red line (middle of the bollinger band's line) as shown on the chart below.
In the intermediate-term perspective the pair is moving sideways gradually paving the way for the long-term down trend.
Therefore in the long-term expectation the EUR-USD should be going for long period of downtrend as the triangle is getting to completion.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 06 December 2010



Intra day trend of the EUR-USD is moving upward with the expected ideal target range up to the red line (middle of the bollinger band's line) as shown on the chart below.
In the intermediate-term perspective the pair is moving sideways gradually paving the way for the long-term down trend.
Therefore in the long-term expectation the EUR-USD should be going for long period of downtrend as the triangle is getting to completion.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 04 December 2010



At this moment the EUR-USD trend movement is somehow not very much predictable as MACD and Stochastic refuse to move in line. This is a place where traders usually got trapped.

Weekly chart: MACD and Stochastic not yet moving inline


4 Hourly chart: MACD and stochastic not yet moving inline


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 04 December 2010



At this moment the EUR-USD trend movement is somehow not very much predictable as MACD and Stochastic refuse to move in line. This is a place where traders usually got trapped.

Weekly chart: MACD and Stochastic not yet moving inline


4 Hourly chart: MACD and stochastic not yet moving inline


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - June 13 2010



Last week was boring day trading day as there are 3 days without significant breakout. However on Thursday the expected correction started to take place and it exactly reside on the middle of the Bollinger band on daily time frame. This is an identical level of correction.

Next week tforecast for EUR-USD is as follow:

Daily Time Frame:
MACD = Up
Stochastic = Up
B. Band = Middle
Summary: In short term indicators signal support for further correction.

Weekly Time Frame:
MACD = Down
Stochastic = Down
B. Band = Bottom
Summary: Support continuation of bearish trend in intermediate term

Monthly Time Frame:
MACD = Down
Stochastic = Down
B. Band = Bottom
Summary: Support continuation of bearish trend in the long-term

Fundamental Data:
On Monday and Tuesday fundamental data from the Euro zones are much stronger than the US Zone. There is a strong possibility of further correction in the first and second day.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - June 13 2010



Last week was boring day trading day as there are 3 days without significant breakout. However on Thursday the expected correction started to take place and it exactly reside on the middle of the Bollinger band on daily time frame. This is an identical level of correction.

Next week tforecast for EUR-USD is as follow:

Daily Time Frame:
MACD = Up
Stochastic = Up
B. Band = Middle
Summary: In short term indicators signal support for further correction.

Weekly Time Frame:
MACD = Down
Stochastic = Down
B. Band = Bottom
Summary: Support continuation of bearish trend in intermediate term

Monthly Time Frame:
MACD = Down
Stochastic = Down
B. Band = Bottom
Summary: Support continuation of bearish trend in the long-term

Fundamental Data:
On Monday and Tuesday fundamental data from the Euro zones are much stronger than the US Zone. There is a strong possibility of further correction in the first and second day.


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EUR-USD Extreme Analysis



Final Judgement: The Missing Link in the JFK Assassination Conspiracy
Looking at the current movement of the EUR-USD, there seems no immediate stopping point yet to be set even in the intermediate trend. As a result i have come to a notion that it might go down furthermore than expected if the Euro zone economy is crumbling down.

Based on the current situation of the Euro zone debts problem and the recovery of US economy i have an extreme personal expectation that the Euro currency value against the US Dollar may go down as deep as to the first time when it was introduce in 1999 at 1.1002. This expectation seems to be very convincing based on the monthly time frame chart double-top (M shape) formation. Worst case would be falling deep to the lowest value at 0.8523 this would be big disaster for the Euro. In fact at this point the integrity of the European Union country should be shaken and breakup maybe imminent.

We will see if this happen in the near future and double top chart formation on monthly time frame as our guide.


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EUR-USD Extreme Analysis



Final Judgement: The Missing Link in the JFK Assassination Conspiracy
Looking at the current movement of the EUR-USD, there seems no immediate stopping point yet to be set even in the intermediate trend. As a result i have come to a notion that it might go down furthermore than expected if the Euro zone economy is crumbling down.

Based on the current situation of the Euro zone debts problem and the recovery of US economy i have an extreme personal expectation that the Euro currency value against the US Dollar may go down as deep as to the first time when it was introduce in 1999 at 1.1002. This expectation seems to be very convincing based on the monthly time frame chart double-top (M shape) formation. Worst case would be falling deep to the lowest value at 0.8523 this would be big disaster for the Euro. In fact at this point the integrity of the European Union country should be shaken and breakup maybe imminent.

We will see if this happen in the near future and double top chart formation on monthly time frame as our guide.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 05 June 2010



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Based on the analysis on Wednesday 02 June 2010 the EUR-USD indeed make the breakout according to all the indicators signals. It happens on Friday after all Euro Zone news was cleared up and left only the strong economic data from the US zone dominated the market. The breakout was expected to land on 1.2080 or 1.2040 but it has gone further until 1.1966 creating a new low for the support.

Approaching the previous major support level at 1.1717 the market is poised to make correction anytime soon. However this confirmation has to be synchronized with MACD and Stochastic indicators signal in all major time frames. At the moment there is no sign of that yet to happen.

This is technical analysis for next week.

Daily Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
B.Band = Bottom
Summary: Further bearish continuation

Weekly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
B.Band = Down
Summary: Further bearish continuation
Monthly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary: Further bearish continuation but it also oversold that might trigger significant correction
Market Position: New low 1.1960 therefore next week has to be some minor correction before major continuation as the market landed on new low ground. Fibonacci correction 23.6% is very likely on hourly chart.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 05 June 2010



Fibonacci Trading: How to Master the Time and Price AdvantageNew Frontiers in Fibonacci Trading: Charting Techniques, Strategies & Simple Applications 
Based on the analysis on Wednesday 02 June 2010 the EUR-USD indeed make the breakout according to all the indicators signals. It happens on Friday after all Euro Zone news was cleared up and left only the strong economic data from the US zone dominated the market. The breakout was expected to land on 1.2080 or 1.2040 but it has gone further until 1.1966 creating a new low for the support.

Approaching the previous major support level at 1.1717 the market is poised to make correction anytime soon. However this confirmation has to be synchronized with MACD and Stochastic indicators signal in all major time frames. At the moment there is no sign of that yet to happen.

This is technical analysis for next week.

Daily Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
B.Band = Bottom
Summary: Further bearish continuation

Weekly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
B.Band = Down
Summary: Further bearish continuation
Monthly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary: Further bearish continuation but it also oversold that might trigger significant correction
Market Position: New low 1.1960 therefore next week has to be some minor correction before major continuation as the market landed on new low ground. Fibonacci correction 23.6% is very likely on hourly chart.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 02 June 2010



I missed out to make an analysis for this week forex trading session due to my short vacation. So this is just a continuation for the rest of 2 days left before the weekend. As you may notice the market is gradually moving in small scale within the range of 50-60 pips and there is not yet significant breakout for this week.

The current situation is very tricky as the market nearly touch down on the last support level 1.2027. Traders becoming very cautious fear the unexpected correction might take place anytime soon. That fear is display by strong volatility of price actions fluctuating within the identical length of support/resistant in the hourly time frame. On the other hand gradual movement downward also signal strong continuation towards that support level. Especially with the head and shoulder chart formation on daily time frame providing clear hint of that intention.

So here is the analysis:

Daily Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary = Support continuation of bearish trend

Weekly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary = Support continuation of bearish trend

Monthly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary = Support Continuation of Bearish trend but the Bollinger Band signal is a little bit oversold that might trigger unexpected significant correction

Chart Formation:
Daily time frame chart formation is head and shoulder which means it support further downward continuation.


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EUR-USD Technical Analysis - 02 June 2010



I missed out to make an analysis for this week forex trading session due to my short vacation. So this is just a continuation for the rest of 2 days left before the weekend. As you may notice the market is gradually moving in small scale within the range of 50-60 pips and there is not yet significant breakout for this week.

The current situation is very tricky as the market nearly touch down on the last support level 1.2027. Traders becoming very cautious fear the unexpected correction might take place anytime soon. That fear is display by strong volatility of price actions fluctuating within the identical length of support/resistant in the hourly time frame. On the other hand gradual movement downward also signal strong continuation towards that support level. Especially with the head and shoulder chart formation on daily time frame providing clear hint of that intention.

So here is the analysis:

Daily Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary = Support continuation of bearish trend

Weekly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary = Support continuation of bearish trend

Monthly Time Frame:
Stochastic = Down
MACD = Down
Bollinger Band = Bottom
Summary = Support Continuation of Bearish trend but the Bollinger Band signal is a little bit oversold that might trigger unexpected significant correction

Chart Formation:
Daily time frame chart formation is head and shoulder which means it support further downward continuation.


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